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Financial news I consider important, with my opinion, which is worth as much as you paid for it.

Thursday, February 6, 2025

Going Short the Market



President Trump is aggressively challenging the status quo on multiple fronts. Whether it's bypassing the constitutional law that only Congress can appropriate funds, sidestepping security clearance protocols by granting access to figures like Musk without proper congressional approval, or making controversial claims about displacing entire ethnic groups in regions like Gaza, his actions are undeniably radical.

Having worked in IT for decades, I know that transformative change often brings immediate challenges—even when it promises long-term benefits. So, even if you support Trump's unconventional approach and favor consolidating power in the executive branch (much like authoritarian leaders such as Putin or Xi Jinping), expect that the road to prosperity will not be smooth.

I'm positioning myself accordingly by loading up on shorts, particularly in sectors I expect to suffer the most from increased tariffs and market instability. My focus is on industries like automobile manufacturing, small businesses, and banking, which I believe will be hit hardest without a safety net from Trump.

On the other hand, if a substantial downturn occurs in the AI market, I’ll be quick to go long on AI stocks. I’ve already invested in Palantir, as they are strategically positioned to serve the U.S. military's AI needs. I'm also bullish on Bitcoin, anticipating  Trump is planning to buy Bitcoin’s through policies involving taxpayer dollars. This will cause Bitcoin to surge, and his insiders (and his companies) will be cashing out—an early sign of crony capitalism in action. With that in mind, I plan to research Trump’s preferred allies and invest in their stocks as the trend unfolds.

Good luck!


 

Sunday, February 2, 2025

How Democracy Dies


The current presidential use of executive orders to impose tariffs isn’t simply a matter of economic policy or even breaking trade agreements—it’s a stark reminder of the difference between democracies and dictatorships.

In a true democracy, trust is built on the bedrock of honoring agreements. Congress and government bodies craft laws through debate, compromise, and checks and balances. These agreements are not arbitrary; they are the lifeblood of a system that empowers citizens and distributes power so that no one individual or group can dominate. When a unilaterally overriding these agreements, it isn’t just adjusting policy—it’s eroding the mutual trust that makes democratic governance possible.

In contrast, dictatorships thrive on the concentration of power. In such regimes, a single ruler—or a small cabal—imposes decisions without consultation or accountability. In these systems, dissent is crushed and citizens are forced to echo the leader’s words, stifling open debate and independent thought.

What made America great was precisely its commitment to democratic ideals: the freedom to discuss, disagree, and shape laws collectively. To “make America great again” means refining our democratic process, not undermining it by bypassing Congress and centralizing power in one individual’s hands.

When executive orders replace laws made by our elected representatives, we aren’t just changing tariff rates—we’re setting a dangerous precedent that erodes democratic process and paves the way toward authoritarianism.  The strength of a nation lies in its ability to allow robust debate among its democratic representatives, respect established agreements, and share power. That is the essence of democracy